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The current Crypto Assets market is at a critical turning point. According to market analysis, this bull run may end by the end of this year, and investors need to remain vigilant to avoid falling into a trapped situation.
The main factor leading to this prediction is the re-emergence of inflation issues in the United States, which greatly reduces the possibility of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates. The rebound in inflation directly affects the direction of monetary policy, and hopes of supporting the market through easing monetary policy in 2026 have become bleak.
Based on the current situation, the market trend may exhibit the following characteristics:
1. Bitcoin is expected to reach a peak in October, possibly touching around $130,000.
2. Ethereum and other Crypto Assets still have about two months of upward space, and December may welcome the final climax.
3. After this, the entire market may enter a downward channel.
It is worth noting that expecting the Federal Reserve to loosen monetary policy for the sake of employment is unrealistic. Historical experience shows that the Federal Reserve's attempts to maintain employment under political pressure often end in failure.
Looking back at this bull run, an interesting phenomenon can be observed: although Bitcoin's rise from $15,000 to $120,000 seems like a major bull run, the performance of most other Crypto Assets resembles a rebound after the crash in 2021, rather than a comprehensive bull market.
In fact, this round of market trends is mainly led by institutional investors:
1. When the Federal Reserve signals a rate cut, smart money enters the market first, driving Bitcoin up from $15,000 to $40,000.
2. After the ETF approval, institutional funds will push Bitcoin from $40,000 to $70,000, which is the only stage where retail investors have the opportunity to profit.
3. After January 2025, Bitcoin may further rise to 100,000 USD.
In the face of such a market environment, investors need to remain clear-headed, prudently assess risks, and formulate appropriate investment strategies.